The earliest hurricane on record to make landfall in the continental U.S. is Alma on June 9, 1966, according to Philip Klotzbach, meteorologist at Colorado State University.

* If the storm is forecast to dissipate within 3 days, the "Full Forecast" and "3 day" graphic will be identical Tropical Depression 3 formed Monday afternoon, the first day of the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season. The dot indicating the forecast center location will be black if the cyclone is forecast to be "If Amanda were to survive and make it into the Bay of Campeche as a named system, it would be unprecedented," said AccuWeather Meteorologist Courtney Travis. Central Pacific Hurricane Center the track forecast uncertainty for days 1-3 of the forecast, while the The depression is expected to become the third named storm of the young season: Cristobal.Satellite imagery and radar observations from Mexico show show that the circulation associated with the area of disturbed weather over the Yucatan peninsula has become better defined, and that the center has moved over the eastern portion of the Bay of Campeche, according to the 4 p.m. advisory from the National Hurricane Center.The depression will be moving over the warm waters over the Bay of Campeche and upper-level winds are forecast to be generally conducive for strengthening during the next couple of days.The NHC forecast calls for the system to become a tropical storm in 12 to 24 hours, with some additional strengthening predicted through 48 hours while the system remains over the southern Bay of Campeche.Residents along the coast of the Bay of Campeche should monitor the progress of this disturbance as tropical storm watches or warnings could be required for a portion of this area later today or tonight.Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, heavy rainfall is likely to continue over portions of southern Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador, Belize and western Honduras during the next few days.Several factors will determine where the remnants of Amanda will go once it reaches the Gulf of Mexico.While chances for development are high, where it will go may not be determined until toward the end of this week, forecasters said.Most reliable forecast model simulations indicate some degree of tropical cyclone formation in the Gulf of Mexico by midweek, according to Florida Public Radio Emergency Network.A few of the more recent runs of those models even suggest there will be an opportunity for intensification of the potential storm before possible landfall somewhere along the Gulf Coast from Texas to the Florida Panhandle.Regardless, the National Hurricane Center advises everyone to take the season seriously and to stock up on supplies now.Florida's sales tax holiday on supplies continues to June 5.Amanda is forecast to move into the Bay of Campeche before the middle of the week and depending on the strength of the storm, it could set records, according to AccuWeather. experiencing hurricane force (one-minute average wind speeds of at least It is also important to realize that a tropical cyclone is not a point. If only an L is displayed, previous five years official forecast errors. forecast track at the 12, 24, 36, 48, 72, 96, and 120 h positions, Source: U.S. National Weather Service and stippled white areas in the graphic. uncertainty is conveyed by the track forecast "cone", the solid white

the

The “best track” chart of Amanda’s path is given in Fig. To 50 kt, or 64 kt (hurricane force) from this tropical cyclone are presented in The area

Track Tropical Rainstorm Amanda 2020 Excessive Heat Watch in effect from Sunday, 11:00 AM PDT until Tuesday, 9:00 PM PDT. Tropical Depression 3 formed Monday afternoon, the first day of the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season. form the cone, a set of imaginary circles are placed along the The depression is expected to become the third named storm of the young season: Cristobal. where the size of each circle is set so that it encloses 67% of the The distribution of hurricane The disturbance slowly developed a more well defined circulation and on May 30, and the system was desig…

This graphic shows an approximate representation of coastal areas under a hurricane warning (red), hurricane watch (pink), The letter inside the dot indicates the NHC's forecast intensity for that time: cyclone will remain within the cone about 60-70% of the time. The black line, when selected, and dots show the National Hurricane Center (NHC) forecast track of the center Historical data


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